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Welcome to yet another sportpesa mega jackpot post game analysis. We got 11/17 correct predictions. There were close calls and red cards that threw some of the games off not to mentioning simply shocking results. However, below is the breakdown of the results as well as an in depth look of our research methodology in the hopes that with each loss we all gain a lesson that could potentially set us on our way to the mega jackpot bonus promise land.
HONKA V KUPS KUOPIO
Our 1st Pick: 1
Result: 2-1
A 7th minute penalty converted by Javier Hervas and a second goal courtesy of Borja Martin in the 37th minute was enough to see the on-form hosts secure a home win. The visitors did pull one back just after the restart of the 2nd half via Petteri Pennanen in and around the 48th minute but the hosts hanged on valiantly for the victory.
We had gone for a home win as our pick and it proved to be the correct prediction. We based our prediction on head to head records between these two in which Honka had won 14 of the encounters as compared to Kups’ 10. Couple that with home ground advantage and you understand our pick.
JJK JYVASKYLA V AC KAJAANI
Our 1st Pick: 2
Result: 2-2
This was one of those matches that last long in the memory of both sets of fans. It was the real definition of an end to end encounter with both teams fighting tooth and nail in pursuit of maximum points.
The visitors raced off the blocks in fine fashion as Adeniyi Ibiyomi fired them ahead after just 15 minutes. However, the hosts refused to go down without a fight and they fought back bravely resulting in an equalizer just after the re-start of the second half with Patrik Alaharjula making it 1-1 in the 49th minute. The visitors, who have been in fine scoring form and they responded immediately with Alberto Ramirez pulling them ahead again in the 53rd minute. The hosts had it all to do again and with the home crowd fully behind them, they drew level once again after only 9 minutes courtesy of a Saku Leppanen goal. This meant that the teams had to settle for a share of the spoils with the hotly contested match ending 2-2.
We had an away win as our pick based on the form table. The visitors had lost only once in their last 6 matches while the hosts had won just once in their last 6 matches. Our prediction was nullified by the 63rd minute equalizer.
EIF EKENAS V AC OULU
Our 1st Pick: X
Result: 0-2
This match proved that despite all the hard stats and data, football predictions also needs a huge smile from lady luck.
The visitors surprisingly got off to a flying start with Alvarado Morin pulling them ahead as early as the 9th minute. It was more bad luck for the hosts as Chakib Hocine was sent off in the 36th minute throwing any sort of predictions out the window. Playing a man less is no easy fete and the visitors duly exploited the spaces to score the second via the same player and seal the 3 points.
We had gone for a draw based on head to head records which indicated a high probability of a stalemate but the red-card changed the total outlook of the match.
FC KTP V FF JARO
Our 1st Pick: X
Result: 0-1
This is yet another match that proved that when it comes to spot on predictions in football, stats mean nothing without a pinch of luck.
In what was an insipid encounter, these two teams were separated by a solitary goal scored by Kareem Moses in and around the 31st minute giving the visitors a much-needed away win.
On paper, their stats were almost identical with the teams playing out 4 draws in their last 6 clashes, but then again, matches aren’t won on paper, now are they?
We had gone for a draw based on head to head stats but it proved to be an incorrect prediction.
PERU V DENMARK
Our 1st Pick: 2
Result: 0-1
The world cup has been full of upsets and shocking results and this particular match followed this trend as majority had tipped Peru to win this one. However, we gave Demark an outside chance to win it simply based on the fact that European sides such as Denmark have more experience on the international stage as well as the Eriksen effect, a player who is simply full of goal creating abilities.
Needless to say, this proved to be a thrilling encounter with chances plenty for both teams. The Peruvians were unlucky as well as wasteful with Christian Cueva had ballooning a penalty – awarded after VAR consultation – over the bar just before half-time in the most glaring of several misses from the Latin American side, who were back in the World Cup finals after a gap of 36 years.
They were duly punished when Tottenham Hotspur playmaker Christian Eriksen who had an otherwise quiet outing provided the pivotal moment when he threaded an immaculate pass through the defence for Poulsen to beat advancing goalkeeper Pedro Gallese in the 59th minute. The match ended 1-0 in favor of the Danes with Peru having no one to blame but themselves.
We had picked Denmark to win this and it proved to be an accurate prediction.
GEFLE IF V OSTERS IF
Our 1st Pick: 2
Result: 2-4
We all love high-scoring matches and this one certainly had goals in plenty with a total tally of 6 goals by the time the final whistle blew.
The visitors kicked off to a flying start and Dragan Kapcevic pulled them ahead as early as the 11th minute. Things went from bad to worse as Simon Helg made 2 nil just 15 minutes later. The hosts needed some form of response in order to stay within touching distance of their visitors and Jesper Floren gave them a life-line when he pulled a goal back in the 35th minute.
However, the visitors restored their 2-goal advantage just 4 minutes courtesy of a Mattias Pavic goal. The hosts did hand themselves a life-line once again when Anton Kralj made it 2-3 in the 58th minute but the visitors once again capitalized on some shambolic defending and restored the 2-goal cushion just 2 minutes later via David Johannesson and the match ended 2-4 in favor of the visitor.
We had tipped the visitors to win this one based on head to head records in which the hosts hadn’t recorded a single victory against this particular opponent and it proved an accurate prediction.
IFK MARIEHAMN V ROPS ROVANIEMI
Our 1st Pick: X
Result: 1-3
This encounter is also one of those in which our predictions proved inaccurate despite relying on data regarding previous encounters which had a registered a high of 6 draws between these two. In retrospect, we should have factored in the form table as well which would have given the visitors an edge. Definitely going to try and marry various factors next time around.
The match was tied at 1 a piece for most of this match before a late flurry of goals in the 2nd half by the visitors put the match to bed. Lucas and Aapo proved to be the heroes of this particular story as they scored late on to secure maximum points for the visitors.
As mentioned earlier, we had gone for a draw as our pick and it proved inaccurate.
ROBUR SIENA V COSENZA
Our 1st Pick: 2
Result: 1-3
We are proud to say we got our prediction of this crucial promotion play off final spot on. As such vital matches are tough to predict with most experts giving both team a 50-50 chance, we relied heavily on the current form table in which Cosenza had won 4 of their previous 5 while the hosts hadn’t registered a single win in the same number of matches hence our choice of Cosenza as the team to back as the winner.
Goals from Mirko Bruccini and Gennaro Tutino respectively gave Cosenza a commanding lead of the game. Alessandro Marotta did give Robur Siena a glimmer of hope when he pulled a goal back in the 73rd minute. However, the game was put to bed when Allan Baclet restored Cosenza’s’ 2 goal cushion in the 87th to secure promotion to the Serie B.
As mentioned above, we had backed Cosenza to win and it proved an accurate prediction.
BRAGANTINO SP V BOTAFOGO SP
Our 1st Pick: 2
Result: 0-2
We went for an away win in this Brazilian Serie C match and we more than delighted to have gotten our predictions spot on. We relied heavily on current form and league standings in which Botafogo edged their rivals in all aspects.
Botafogo SP having played 9 matches were at position 1 with 18 points and they had won twice, drawn once and lost just once in their overall 4 away games played. As the visitors were at the helm of this division and based on their good form away from home too having won 2 and draw 1 match in 4 played at away grounds, we backed them to win it and they did.
Goals from Tcho and Dantas in the 1st half was all that was needed to secure a victory for the high-flying table toppers.
GIFU V MACHIDA ZELVIA
Our 1st Pick: 2
Result: 0-1
We had our predictions spot on this one as well as the away side went back home with maximum points. We based our predictions on the head to head records between these two in which Machida had 5 wins in 6 matches with Gifu only managing to beat them once.
It was a tight encounter to say the least as the solitary goal that ended up as the match winner came via an own goal by Kyogo Furuhashi with just 12 minutes to go before the end of the match.
FAGIANO OKAYAMA V YOKOHAMA
Our 1st Pick: X
Result: 0-0
Don’t be fooled by the score line as its always a spectacle when these two rivals, Fagiano Okayama and Yokohama play at the City Light Stadium. The last time the two met was on 12-11-2017, they drew 1-1 at Yokohama home ground and we based our prediction on this fact as well their current form standings.
Their stats were almost identical coming into this feisty encounter which explains why we had a draw as our pick and it proved to be an accurate one.
HAM-KAM V SOGNDAL
Our 1st Pick: 2
Result: 1-3
This one started off with a scare for us as we had backed the away team to carry the day with a one. The hosts however, kicked off to a flying start with Kristian Onstrud pulling them ahead as early as the 6th minute.
We had based our predictions on overall form and the visitors had simply been outstanding in this regard having lost just once in the last 6 matches. The hosts on the other hand had conceded 17 goals in just 12 matches which is why we were comfortable in backing Sogndal to win it.
Goals from Joachim, Kjetil and Ulrik were enough to see out a comfortable win for the high flying visitors.
JONKOPINGS SODRA V FALKENBERGS
Our 1st Pick: 2
Result: 1-3
Falkenbergs’ victory in this one meant that our prediction was spot on once again. The hosts had won 1 time drawn 3 times and lost 2 times in their overall 6 matches played at their home ground this season. Falkenbergs on the other hand having played 12 matches were at position 1 with 27 points in the 2018-Sweden Superettan. Couple this with the fact that they had won 4 times drawn 2 times and lost none in their overall 6 matches played on away ground and you get why we’d backed them for a comfortable win.
Goals by Parsson, Carlsson and Ostlind were enough to seal out the victory for the visitors while the hosts’ consolation goal was scored by Jesper Svensson.
HALMSTADS BK V AFC ESKILSTUNA
Our 1st Pick: 1
Result: 2-1
Halmstads secured a crucial home win and by doing so, they verified our pre-match prediction of a home win. There are matches in which we decided to base our prediction on gut feeling while ignoring crucial stats such as head to head records and this was one of those types of matches.
If we had considered the head to head records, we’d have backed the away team to win it as they had won the last of their 4 encounters, however, we backed the home team as they have been valiant at home having not lost any of their last 3 matches at home. With the aid of home ground’s advantage in this game their players would be motivated to go all out for a win.
Despite Zurab drawing 1st blood for the visitors, goals by Svedberg and Hoskuldur were enough to secure a memorable comeback victory for the hosts.
SANDNES ULF V AALESUNDS
Our 1st Pick: X
Result: 1-2
This match proved once again that despite all the hard stats and data, football predictions also needs a huge smile from lady luck. We had gone for a draw as our tip but it all went downhill as the hosts were reduced to 10 men with Kenyan Arnold Origi given his matching orders. Despite the visitors the better side in terms of current form, the hosts had been in solid form at home, having lost just a single game in their last 6 matches. This was the main reason as to why we predicted a share of the spoils, in retrospect, backing the in-form team would have landed us a winning ticket.
Niels Vorthoren sent the vociferous home crowd into frenzy when he pulled them ahead in and around the 49th minute but a happy ending wasn’t written in the stars. The visitors rallied and goals by Carlsen and Nattestad were enough to complete the comeback and secure maximum points.
NOTODDEN V KONGSVINGER IL
Our 1st Pick: 2
Result: 1-2
The away team secured a memorable win and thereby vindicating our decision to back them for a win despite lacking home ground advantage. Despite the hosts ahead of them in terms of table standings, the fact that the two sides had met 9 times in the past, Notodden having won 4 times and Kongsvinger IL 5 times was simply a fact that we took into consideration. Couple this with the fact that Kongsvinger came into this game after a 3 run undefeated streak and it would make sense to back them for a win.
Goals by Olav and Guven were enough to secure the victory while the hosts got their consolation goal courtesy of a Martin Brekke goal.
AASANE FOTBALL V ULLENSAKER/KISA
Our 1st Pick: X
Result: 1-5
Well, this one was a pure shocker for us as we got our predictions totally off the mark with the hosts hammering 5 goals past the hapless hosts. The two sides had met 4 times in the past, Aasane Fotball having won 2 times while Ullensaker-Kisa won 2 times as well. Their stats were pretty similar which made the result even more puzzling. The visitors came into this one looking to end their 3 match losing streak which is why we thought a draw would be the safest bet but it wasn’t to be as they ran rampant.
That’s it for another pulsating week of our sportpesa megajackpot predictions. There have been surprising results but with each failure one can only hope to learn. Here’s a tip for all our sports betting enthusiasts, sometimes stats may favor a particular team but dig deeper and trust by your gut. Sometime your winning slip could be hinged on you backing the underdog and going against the norm. As they say, fortune favors the bold.
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